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Risk & price

Bullish trend

Also called: uptrend, momentum

Shares in a clear uptrend by three simple tests, all of which must pass.

Formula

Range position ≥ 70% AND 13-week return ≥ +5% AND 26-week return > 0

Worked example

  1. Example: Example plc
  2. EXMP range position = ($92.00 − $60.00) ÷ ($95.00 − $60.00) = 91% ✓ ≥ 70%
  3. 13-week return = +9.5% ✓ ≥ +5%
  4. 26-week return = +14.0% ✓ above 0

How to read it

This describes price momentum only. It says nothing about whether the company is good value; check the DCF and financials before drawing conclusions.

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